Friday, March 5, 2021

Pyrrhic Draw

Newcastle season in a nutshell
A few weeks ago I noted that even though the win over Southampton cost them Callum Wilson for two months and Fabian Schar for the season, a pyrrhic win was better than a pyrrhic loss.  But Saturday's pyrrhic draw is really pushing the limit.  Sure we got a point from the 1-1 draw but lost Almiron, Saint-Maximin (both until April) and Krafth (a few weeks?) in the process.  This is a blow from which the Magpies may not recover.  Dennis notes that 62% of our goals and 53% of our assists are now out with injuries.  I note that these are 62% and 53% of small numbers to begin with.  

Plus it's not like that point really helped the cause all that match.  Coupled with Fulham's 0-0 draw with Palace, Newcastle's relegation prospects barely improved at all.  We did get help midweek when Spurs handed Fulham a 1-0 defeat despite looking more like a bottom half of the table side.  So we maintain a three point lead (with a game in hand!) and the 538 percentages are 29% and 55%, an improvement from last week's 35/47.  And yet, prospects for staying up look dim.


No CL For You. Come Back, One Year

Aston Villa likely put paid to their chances for making Champions League with a puzzling 0-1 loss to Sheffield United.  Puzzling in that even though they were without Grealish and Cash again, 1) they had shown they could manage without the duo in a 1-0 weekend win over Leeds and 2) Sheffield played a man down for over 30 minutes.  Dennis did not seem distraught.  A top half of the table finish one year after nearly being relegated is progress enough for him plus the loss reduces the likelihood of dreaded Europa League qualification.


City Rule

Man City managed two more wins while many, though not all, in the chase pack were dropping points.  They have a 14 point lead heading into the Manchester derby.   As we suggested they would, Man Tied United got a 0-0 draw with Chelsea but also came up flat in the misty mists of Selhurst Park and could only manage a 0-0 draw there as well.  Leicester dropped four points with a draw to Burnley and loss to Arsenal.  Liverpool got their win versus Sheffield but then came up scoreless at home against Chelsea in a 0-1 defeat.  And West Ham took a 2-1 loss to Man City that slows their roll down a little

Though they technically dropped two points, a draw with Man United and win over Liverpool have to go down as a good week for Chelsea; in fact, they might be the best bet for third place right now.  Everton and Tottenham both came away with six points and kept themselves in the mix.  Newcastle fans appreciate Spurs' wins over Burnley and Fulham and Everton taking the measure of West Brom and Southampton was helpful too.


Style Matters

Lee Mason got himself into a big mess in West Brom - Brighton match.  You can see the incident here.  It is not pretty.  Sounds like Mason blew the whistle to allow the kick, then realized that the West Brom keeper was still setting up the wall and blew the whistle again.  My sense is that after blowing the first whistle he realized he didn't mean to do that so he quickly blew the second whistle.  What followed was not pretty.  First, he disallowed the goal.  Then he changed his mind and allowed it.  Then, with VAR assistance, he disallowed it.  The official reason given was that the ball had not entered the goal at the time of the second whistle.  

We are left with two questions.  Should the process have been better and was this the "right" decision?  Clearly the process sucked.  No where have a read that the important thing as a referee is to get the call right on the third time of asking.  Mason needed to slow everything down before he made a final ruling; changing a call twice just doesn't cut it.  I am of two minds as to whether they ultimately got to the right place.  On the one hand, I'm not aware of any requirement that the referee has to hold up play just because the defense isn't set.  The only limitation that I'm aware of is that the attacking team can't take the kick until the referee blows the whistle.  On the other, I seriously doubt I would have blown the whistle to proceed in that situation.  It's not a quick kick anymore so I probably wait until the keeper is in position.  


Watching West Brom Is A Football Manager Scouting Opportunity

We are into April in the virtual reality of Football Manager and Forest Green have just clinched promotion to the Championship Division.  We have an annoying tendency to play down to the level of the opposition but also come up big against the key rivals.  Most recently we effectively ended the race with a convincing 2-0 win over Barnsley.

With promotion we now get vastly improved salary and transfer budgets, meaning players that previously turned their noses up at playing for Forest Green now have some interest.  Surprisingly, three of them play for West Brom in the real world.  We are hoping to land Grady Diangana and Conor Gallagher on loan for help in the midfield and are taking a long look making a transfer bid on center back Kyle Bartley - yeah the one who scored a nifty header goal versus Brighton on Saturday.  At first I'm thinking how can it make sense to be looking at players from the 19th place side in the EPL but it actually makes sense if I'm trying to strengthen a Championship Division side.  


We All See It.  We All See It.

He has blue hair.  Blue
West Brom's striker Mbaye Diagne (left) is sporting a new dye job.  Here we see some NBCSN commentators trying their best - and failing -  to let it pass without comment.  


Yellow Balls Are Gone

No, it's not a ad slogan for a masculine hygiene product.  Rather, it should replace the robin as the first sign of spring.  On 2/19, the EPL switched back from the yellow "winter" ball to a white and blue model.  I had read last fall that the yellow ball was to be in use until late March when the clocks move forward.  Apparently, they felt they didn't have to wait any longer.


My Mistake

Man City right back Kyle Woolka
After consecutive Man City matches with Peter Drury behind the mic, I now realize I have been
mispronouncing their right back's name for all these years.   I that it was Kyle Walker but Drury has set me straight - it's Kyle Woolka.  BFS regrets the error and apologizes for any confusion we may have caused.



Separated at Birth?

We know who will play Leeds manager Simon Biesla in the biopic.
Charles Nelson Reilly would be perfect in the role.  The fact that he passed away in 2007 presents a slight problem but we'll figure something out.















Conversation That Could Have Taken Place But Didn't

Dennis: Did Chelsea just score?
Steve: No, but Giroud hit the post [the Frenchman literally collided with the post after an attempted diving header]

Conversation That Could Have Taken Place and Did

Dennis (with Villa about to lose to Sheffield): I guess this is payback for the Great Occlusion

Steve: At about 10 cents on the dollar


My Mistake Part II

Seems like many of the matches I said were only available on Peacock last week ended up on NBCSN.  Not sure whether it was because Michael B called the network to raise bloody hell or I was simply wrong.  In any case, BFS regrets the error and apologizes for any confusion it may have caused.

For Newcastle, matches don't come much bigger than Sunday 7 am at West Brom (NBCSN).  The Magpies will be undermanned but three points are close to essential here, mostly because they will struggle against better sides until they get some players back.  I suppose it is possible someone will step up - Willock, Gayle, Fraser?  

The Manchester derby on Sunday at 11:30 (NBCSN) looks like the match of the week.  A United loss and City have a 17 point lead.  As we've noted, United specialize in 0-0 draws against the top teams.  That result here would probably be about as good as the Red Devils could hope for.  We call your attention to Chelsea-Everton on Monday at 1 pm on NBCSN; that's a big one for both sides, though probably more important for the Toffees if they want to keep their CL hopes alive.  Spurs host Crystal Palace (Sunday 2:15 on Peacock) and can't afford less than three points in that one.  Same for West Ham hosting Leeds on Monday at 3 pm on Peacock.

On the relegation watch, we hope Liverpool can end its home scoring drought against Fulham (Sunday at 9 on NBCSN).  Wouldn't hurt if Leicester can beat Brighton and maybe Sheffield United beat or at least draw Southampton.  Arsenal can help too by beating Burnley.  

Not huge implications at this point but Aston Villa Wolves has the potential to be a good watch; hopefully at least Grealish will be back.  

Don't forget Champions League round of 16 second league action on Tuesday and Wednesday.  

So we got today off and looks like next Thursday off.  Should be enough to recover.


No comments:

Post a Comment