Permission To Panic?

Michael B still says no but after Newcastle's home defeat to Brighton, I'm ready.

Newcastle are proving they are quite diverse.  They can lose with 30% possession and one shot or with 68% possession and 27 shots, like they did on Saturday.  Six of them were on target and I recall at least three clear cut chances.  So it wasn't a matter of creating opportunities, it was a lack of quality in finishing.  Meaningless Annoying fact of the week: Newcastle are the fourth team to lose their first five home matches in top flight English football history.

Both of my potential heir apparents (heirs apparent?) should Newcastle go down - Wolverhampton and Crystal Palace -  lost as well.  Didn't see Wolves match but they fell behind Watford early and often at home and went down 0-2.  I did see the Palace match.  They maybe had the better of play, certainly in the first half but were undone by two late goals at Goodison Park.  That match had some of the nastiness you'd expect in a derby which this was not.

Spurs continue to underwhelm on the pitch but look great in the table.  Their latest effort was an unspectacular 1-0 defeat of West Ham at Olympic Stadium or whatever they call that place now.  I did catch Arsenal-Leicester on Monday; after a slow start, the Gunners poured it on for a 3-1 win and looked maybe at their best this season.  The win put Arsenal ahead of Spurs (on goal differential) for the first time in awhile.  Man City feasted on another lower table side, putting up 5 against Burnley.  Liverpool-Huddersfield wasn't nearly as bad as I predicted and figure that Sir Patrick Stewart probably stayed for the whole thing, if he was there.  The Terriers gave as good as they got and even hit the post before losing 0-1.


But He Said He Was Sarri

The Special One responds to the question "How many years
do you usually stay with a team?"

Well this marquee match certainly did not disappoint, and the extra curricular stuff just added to the fun.  Chelsea went up early on a nifty header from Rudiger but the Red Devils looked lively enough.  Anthony Martial then laid down the law so to speak with goals in the 55th and 73rd minutes.  Man United looked like they were going to leave Stamford Bridge with all three points.  Except Ross Barkley helped Chelsea snatch a point back as he put away a loose ball in the 96th minute.  To be fair, the sequence included a shot off the post and a nice save from DeGea so it wasn't like the Blues hadn't earned the goal.

Great stuff but things weren't quite finished. In the celebration, Chelsea Assistant Manager Marco Ianni raced past the Man United bench and twice taunted Mourinho.  I don't think the Special One noticed the first taunt but Ianni got his attention the second time.  Which set off a display of what Mackenzie would call "aggressive male posturing."  Nice highlights of the whole match can be found here;  I'd watch the whole thing but skip to about 2:20 if you want to see the nonsense.  As Mourinho left the pitch he raised three fingers to the crowd and pointed to the pitch to remind everybody that he won three championships here.  I offer a second interpretation in the picture caption.

So the weekend concludes with three sides still unbeaten, which is this week's second Meaningless Annoying fact of the week: this is the third time in the history of English top flight football that three teams are undefeated after nine matches.  Chelsea have a second draw so they're two points back and Man City, which usually win by a touchdown, lead Liverpool on goal differential.


Help From Florida

I was at Talen Energy Sunday with Ze Roberto, Jeff K and Alex S to see the Union take on the Red Bulls.  Our guys seemed to be the better side going against the wind in the first half but didn't grab a goal.  The Red Bulls almost seemed to be happy to just try the occasional long ball to Bradley Wright-Phillips while conceding possession and space, at least on the wings.  But none of it resulted in anything resembling a serious scoring chance; well maybe there was one involving a loose ball at about the six but nobody got a foot on it.

Then VAR, a frequent savior for the Union this year, came back to bite us in the ass.  During a Red Bull corner, several players on the field and every substitute warming up on the goal line shouted hand ball.  After looking at the replay - and only spending about 10 seconds doing so - Ted Unkel came back with a guilty verdict.  Bedoya basically parried the ball with both hands like a keeper might.  I suppose you could argue he was protecting his face but this was clearly hand to ball so I'm not going to complain.  The converted PK was the sum total of scoring for the day.

Following the action elsewhere on line, we could see that DC United was beating NYCFC and that Columbus Orlando looked headed for a draw.  DC were never headed but things took an interesting turn in Florida. Frequent Union tormentor Sacha Kljestan converted a PK in the 96 minute to allow Orlando to steal the win for the Lions.  So we retain 4th place and still have a shot at 3rd.


The Referee Did Not Cost You the Match, Parts Infinity Plus One, Two and Three

Things did not start out well on this front as I got a note from one of our teenage referees reporting some unsavory behavior by parents at a U10 match.  Geebus Christmas, we don't even keep the final scores in those matches.

In the Newcastle loss, replays pretty clearly show that the corner that led to the Brighton goal should have been a goal kick.  Very hard for the referee to see it but the AR probably should have been able to get it right.  Fair enough, but the whole thing was set up by an awful pass by Muto.  Without his ill-advised pass, the play never gets near the Newcastle goal in the first place and there's no call to mess up.

Maybe the most depressing piece came after the Union match.  Before the hand ball call described above, Ted Unkel had not endeared himself to the Talen Energy crowd.  You might say they were screaming Unkel.  And honestly, I was puzzled by a few of his calls and totally annoyed when he wouldn't show a yellow when a Red Bull player clearly delayed the taking of a free kick by standing in front the Union player.  But nothing all that awful.  And of course, the hand ball call that incensed the crowd was probably correct.  So we're heading back to the parking lot and this 8 year-old is  chanting about how the referee cost us the game.  Sorry kid.  He didn't even get the call wrong.  But beyond that, the Union lost because they could not turn possession into any kind of meaningful attack, not because of the referee.  Sigh.


Hey Old Guys

As if we needed a reminder that some of us aren't so young anymore, we were also blessed with news Fulham's Ryan Sessegnon became the first player born after 1999 to score in the Premier League.  The pedant in me must remind everyone that Sessegnon (born in May 2000) is not the first player born in the 21st century to score (as some are saying) because, as everybody knows, the 21st century started in 2001, not 2000.  See, there was no year 0...oh never mind.


Good News From [Virtual] Chester

After the weekend's defeats on both sides of the pond, I was reluctant to open up Football Manager even though we were heavy favorites against West Brom.  Fortunately, Chester continued their solid streak with a 7-1 win over the Baggies.  The best win on this streak came at Stamford Bridge.  Down 1-2 at 80 minutes I was beginning to accept that we might not win.  I did switch the formation to a more attacking 4-3-1-2 (from 4-1-3-2) and we grabbed the equalizer in the 85th minute.  More than content to leave with a draw, I switched to a 4-4-2, with an eye towards protecting the point.  I was stunned when we put the game winner in just two minutes later.  We too are undefeated after nine matches.


Union Fate Up in the Air

All the MLS sides play their final match at 4:30 on Sunday.  Three matches are of concern to us.  The easiest scenario is for the Union to beat NYCFC at Yankee Stadium; that nets us third place and home field for the knockout round.  A draw could be enough to grab 4th but could also leave us in 5th.    A loss could leave us 4th but could drop us to 5th or 6th. 

DC is finally sent back on the road but their opponent - Chicago - certainly doesn't scare anybody.  Columbus is home to Minnesota so it's hard to think the Crew aren't going to finish with a win.  That means we need a draw to stay ahead of them.  Checking in at 538, their experts are predicting wins for NYCFC, Columbus and Chicago (really?).  If that happens, we're 5th and traveling to Columbus for the knockout round.

Kind of quiet week in the EPL.  No 7:30 Saturday match which is always appreciated here.  The 10 am matches don't really get the blood going.  Newcastle travel to Southampton, where a win or even a draw would have to be considered an upset.  The TV game is Liverpool - Cardiff, which doesn't feel like a close match.  Even the 12:30 NBC game doesn't exactly promise a lot as Leicester will be hosting West Ham.

Sunday is most noteworthy for the fact that Britain ends daylight savings time before we do so the matches are at 9:30 and 12 as opposed to the usual 8:30 and 11.  The two 9:30 matches are Burnley-Chelsea and Crystal Palace-Arsenal. Doesn't sound all that appealing.  The noon match might be better as Man United take on Everton at Old Trafford.  Monday's match at 4 pm might be the most interesting of the week.  Tottenham will host Man City.  Spurs will not be able to get away with the tepid brand of football they've been playing, but here's hoping they're up to the challenge.

Weather looks awful for Saturday morning which makes for guilt-free viewing!

At Least the Magpies Didn't Lose This Week

Okay break's over, back to work.

And bright and early too with a 7:30 Saturday am match.  At least it looks decent, with Chelsea hosting Man United.  Unless you like Relegation Specials, the 10 am fixtures may leave you a little cold.  We'll be taking in Newcastle vs Brighton at St. James' Park. Very scary fixture that one.  Every reason to expect the Magpies could/should win here but the flip side is that a loss will be quite devastating.  Watch the crowd reaction if Newcastle don't start well; things could get really ugly.

Cardiff - Fulham is another relegation level battle.  The TV game is a London derby with West Ham and Tottenham.  Spurs have been feasting on weaker sides lately and this might be another chance to get three points even if they are not at their best.  A sleeper match to check out might be Wolves-Watford but you'll have to go to NBC Gold to catch it.

The "featured" Saturday 12:30 game has Liverpool traveling to Huddersfield.  If Patrick Stewart is in the stands for that one, he may plead "beam me up" at half time given the relative recent form of those two sides.  Only one match on Sunday at 11 - Everton vs Crystal Palace and a Monday fixture as well, Arsenal - Leicester at 3 pm; both are on NBCSN.


MLS Wind Down

Not much left to the regular season.  The Union still have a chance to finish as high as third but as low as sixth.  I will be at Talen Energy Sunday at 3 pm to see the Union take on the New Jersey Red Bulls in the final home match of the season.  The experts at 538 have this as a draw and I'd be happy with that.  But note that if NYCFC were to somehow beat DC United in DC on Saturday, anything less than a win for the Union on Sunday would mean no 3rd place.

Looking at the four teams likely to be in the one-and-done round of the playoffs, I'd be very concerned if we had to place DC United away; they are 11-2-2 at home.  Columbus is no slouch at home either with 10 wins and just two losses.  But neither is as good as NYCFC, who are 11-1-4 in Yankee Stadium.  And because the Yankees crashed out of the baseball playoffs, there is no hope that the place will be occupied and the match moved to Yale University or West Bridgeport High School or something like that.  Moral of the story - the Union better make sure they nail down 4th place.

As Ze Roberto has pointed out, technically the Union control their own destiny.  Sure, all we have to do is beat the Red Bulls at home and NYCFC at Yankee Stadium.  No sweat, right?  Strategic scoreboard watching is hard too.  If DC beat NYCFC this weekend (Saturday) then we have a chance for third regardless of our result on Sunday.  But a DC win also increases the chances we'll finish behind them in 5th or 6th.  Columbus are also very likely to get four or even six points in their final two matches.  Maybe we just let it play out and be happy we're in the playoffs.

A Tale of Two 2-0 Leads

It was the best of matches, it was the worst of matches...

Some say it's all about the journey not the destination.  And that's what made Newcastle's 2-3 loss to Man United all the worse.  Would have been much easier to swallow an uncomplicated defeat at Old Trafford than what actually went down.

First Kenedy stunned the Red Devils with a goal in the 7th minute.  For the record, that was the first time this season the Magpies had a lead.  Before Man United could recover, Muto had slipped another in to give the Magpies a 2-0 lead at 10 minutes.  I can't help but note that in this space last week I had suggested that maybe Muto should be in the starting eleven.  Newcastle looked lively for the rest of the half and took the 2-0 lead into the second half.  But this is Newcastle.  The text stream with Jeff H reveals the thought process:

- At about 50 minutes (score 2-0):  Uh oh.  Newcastle look to be in prevent defense
- At about 57 minutes (score 2-0): Now they've gotten my hopes up.  The eventual 2-3 loss will be heartbreaking
- At about 75 minutes (score 2-1): Man United will score winning goal in the 8th minute of stoppage time   

The second half was almost all Man United possession and pressure, occasionally broken up by a tepid Newcastle counter.  Juan Mata started the comeback with a well-taken free kick at 70 minutes.  Shortly after my text at 75 minutes, Martial leveled the match.  And in the 90th minute (so I was way off), Alexis Sanchez headed the game winner to complete the nightmare.  To demonstrate that I am completely over it, we'll make the goal this week's YouTubeableMoment.

Journey over destination my butt.  Yes, the destination sucks but let's make the journey unbearable too.


Playoffs!

A much happier tale at Chester-on-Delaware.  With Montreal having pinned back Columbus, the Union took the field at Talen Energy knowing they'd need a win against Minnesota to clinch a playoff spot.  Goals by Burke and Bedoya at 8 and 17 minutes served notice to the Loons that this was business.  Of course, the earlier events at Old Trafford had me appropriately wary.  Then Picault added goals at 23 and 44 (the second being good enough to merit co YouTubeableMoment)and I began to relax and contemplate happier things.  Like we'd be in 4th place by night's end.  Like third place is in reach because our last match is against the current occupant, slumping NYCFC.

Pretty clearly this is the best Union season ever.  Also pretty clearly, that's not exactly a high bar.  In European terms we'll finish solidly mid-table out of the 23 MLS franchises.  We certainly don't look a threat to challenge for the Supporters Shield anytime soon.  But, there was progress.  I see some discussion about what to do with Dockal.  Failure to sign him again for next year would be an incredible step in the wrong direction.  Once he got settled, the team was clearly better with him in the No. 10 role.

Philip S points us to 538 global club rankings here which has the Union at 315.  That puts us in the lower half of the Championship Division, England's second tier.  That's actually a little higher than I expected.


Auditioning

So I took in the Crystal Palace Wolves match on NBC Gold.  Not exactly neat and tidy, as evidenced by the seven yellow cards.  But secretly, I was checking out both teams as a possible substitute for BFS EPL rooting interest next year should Newcastle, gasp, be relegated again.  Wolves usually play a little more exciting football than this but maybe were just keeping things tight to get a point or three on the road; it paid off with a 1-0 win.

Totally wrong about the level of scoring in the Liverpool - Man City match but it was still excellent to watch despite the 0-0 final.  I confess that I was pleased when Mahrez failed to convert that late PK that would have given Man City all three points.  I think that attempt is still rising.  Did you see that Jesus expected that he would take it but yielded to the more experienced Mahrez?  Also the graphic showed, I think, that Mahrez has made just 2 of 5 PKs.  What's the saying, Trust in Jesus?


Not Real

Like a proud papa, Ze Roberto (Bob K) points out that it's October 11th and tops in La Liga is not Real Madrid, Barcelona or Atletico.  Nope, it's his beloved Sevilla.  They got there with a win over Celta Vigo while Barcelona drew with Valencia and Real Madrid lost to Alaves.  One question Bob, looking on-line to get Sevilla's nickname and there are at least five possibilities, none short.  What do they go by?



Kneeling Knockaert

Doncha just hate it when the wall jumps to block a free kick and the bastard keeps the ball on the ground?  I vaguely recall somebody kneeling behind the wall to foil that tactic but had forgotten about it until I saw Brighton's Anthony Knockaert getting down on one knee against West Ham.  Couldn't find that picture but did track down another time when Knockaert did the same thing against Tottenham (right).  Guess it makes sense but wouldn't it be more effective if he laid down completely?


Crime Spree

Mercury must have been retrograde.  Or in Uranus.  Whatever the cause, EPL players were on their worst behavior this weekend.  Before the weekend's matches 215 yellow cards (about 30 a week) and 11 red cards had been shown.  By close of business Sunday, 47 more yellows had been flashed and another 3 red card ejections were in the books.  Wonder what the record is.  It will take someone with even less of a life than me to undertake that research.


He Always Was A Good Finisher

Courtesy of Jack W, we have video here of Usain Bolt's first goal as a professional.  Maybe a little lucky but good first touch to be able to get the shot off and it's on frame. 


International Break

Which means mostly these days that Newcastle will not lose this weekend.  We'll be back late next week to review the weekend schedule.  In the meantime, cut the lawn, it's getting shaggy.

Where Has All the Offense Gone?

Gone to Manchester City I guess.  Another shut out for Newcastle and the Union didn't even manage a shot on target.  At least I have virtual Chester to show me what scoring looks like.


Almost There

Blake saves the Union bacon (Photo Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports)

Despite not getting a shot on target, the Union nearly took all three points at Columbus but had to settle for a 0-0 draw.  An own goal by the Crew was wiped out by VAR, but we maintain that the Union are still a net beneficiary of the process. The real key moment came in the 90th minute when Blake made an incredible save on shot by Harrison Afful.  To give up a goal that late would have been aw... no that's too easy.  Not going there.  As we noted last week, a win would have made 4th place a real possibility. But the unexpected point on the road moves the Union very close to clinching a playoff spot.  In our nation's capital, Montreal got thrashed by DC United so now any combination of three points gained by the Union or dropped by Montreal seal the deal. 


Discontent at St. James' Park

With a 0-2 loss at home to Leicester, I think we can safely remove the label of overachievers from the Magpies.  Four goals and two points from seven matches, heading to Old Trafford.  Struggling to find a silver lining here.  Feeling very much like Will Rogers; I'm not a supporter of any EPL team, I root for Newcastle.  Fan protests about the owner, some booing of personnel decisions by Benitez, just not a pretty scene.  Is there an obvious change of strategy that would make things better?  I don't see it.  Maybe play Muto some more.  But all the moves seem like marginal changes.


Elsewhere

The featured Chelsea-Liverpool match, though low-scoring was a good watch, with a late goal from Sturridge rescuing a point for the Reds.  So Liverpool are no longer perfect and they drop to second in the table behind Man City, who dispatched Brighton 2-0.  After sarcastically dissing the Cardiff City-Burnley and Bournemouth-Crystal Palace matches last week, they turned out to be two of the more interesting contests, ending in 2-1 wins for Burnley and Bournemouth.  Sped through Spurs comfortable if unimpressive 2-0 win over Huddersfield; they really haven't been on top of their game since the big win over Man United.  Speaking of Man United, Mourinho is once again at the top of the oddsmakers list in the Sack Race after his side fell to West Ham 1-3.  Didn't see the match but rising BFS favorite Wolverhampton scored two late goals to take the measure of Southampton; Wolves sit 9th in the table.


Chester Relief

Mostly anyway.  A hiccup 1-1 draw at home to Everton but mostly solid wins since then.  Back top of the table.  At least somebody is scoring goals.


Weekend

Hoping the Union settle everything with a win at Talen Energy this Saturday night against Minnesota.  Mixed feelings about Montreal-Columbus.  A win by the Impact would improve our chances of finishing 4th but a loss or draw seals our playoff berth.  Let's be greedy and hope for an Impact win, knowing we'll take of business in Philly.  DC United, which could still catch Philly, has another of its 12 remaining home matches (it's really four, a result of a late opening of their new stadium) against Chicago.

This can't be right.  The NBC feature match at 12:30 on Saturday is a struggling Man United hosting a drowning Newcastle.  I can't imagine a result that doesn't stoke the fires of discontent in one or both camps.  A Newcastle upset win will raise the pressure on Mourinho; even a draw might cause a riot.  A Newcastle loss is sort of expected but it will just add to the mess.

There is a second straight week of #1 vs #2.  Liverpool host Man City at 11 am Sunday.  Every reason to think there might be a goal or two there.  Some interesting stuff in the Saturday 10 am matches.  I might be inclined to watch Crystal Palace - Wolves from Selhurst Park (NBC Gold).  The TV match is Spurs - Cardiff City; wouldn't expect Tottenham to have an issue there.  Leicester hosting Everton could be good too.

Don't miss the early start to the weekend with Brighton and West Ham kicking off at 3 pm Friday on NBCSN.  Hey, no 7:30 Saturday match.  Thank you schedulers. 

Yeah, I know there's been all kinds of Champions League and League Cup stuff going on but I've been swamped with work as my plan for part-time retirement has been temporarily compromised with a full calendar.